This post will be devoted to creating a base case for tracking my investment journey. Note that I said investment and not trading. Over the years, I've come to believe that for the average retail investor with no edge (or special powers), trading is just one aspect of creating an investment plan, and lets leave at that. To me, trading is the mechanical act of purchasing or selling an asset consistent with the overall objectives and constraints of my own personal asset allocation model (more on this shortly). And I will say this loud and clear, I give TONS of credit to professional traders who are able to consistently generate alpha negotiating an ever changing market landscape. One of the topics taught in finance is that financial time series have a non constant variance (financial markets are non-stationary). To me, this means that modelling, or extrapolating the future based on the past as seems to often be the case in trading (i.e., expecting patterns to resolve a certain...
Random thoughts about investing